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Meta Scalper – A Simple Low Risk Scalping Strategy

Strategy Overview

The idea behind this scalping strategy is to catch the short wave retracements that take place when the market reaches a peak overbought or oversold state. The method can be used in any markets but it is best (and has lowest risk) when the market is range bound. It is a low yielding strategy. That means the profits are not huge but they are consistent when the system is correctly applied.

Simple scalping strategy
A simple scalping strategy
I have used this method over several months on both one-minute (M1) and five-minute (M5) time frames. However, it can be adapted to work at higher timescales if you choose.
Unlike most other scalpers, this method enters the market on triggers from an indicator as well as price behavior at each bar (candle). A key element of this strategy is that it spreads risk across a number of trades to create a scalp sequence. This averaging out is essential in restricting drawdowns and creating incremental profits.
Unlike other scalping systems, trades are allowed to drawdown. Many scalping system abandon a trade as soon as it enters a loss. However because the exposure is spread among multiple trades the impact of drawdown on the account’s balance is limited. Because of the need to allow trades to enter a loss, it is not advisable to use this method with aggressive leverage.

Setup

With this strategy, I do not use more than one standard lot per $10k of account balance. That is, there is never more than one lot of exposure at any time. Typically, the exposure is spread over 100 trades. However, with the entry signal I use there are rarely more than 10 trades open at once. It averages around 5 trades per day and the average total profit is 25.9 pips per day. The table below summarizes the setup:
Max exposure (lots) 1
Maximum open trades 100
Trade size 0.01
Averages
Trades/day 5
Pips/trade 5.18
Pips/day 25.9
You can adjust the setup for more risk or less risk as required.

Entry Signal

I use a combined entry signal that detects high probability turning points. To do this I use a combination of the Bollinger band lines and by examining the price action at each bar.
Two conditions have to be met to trigger a market entry.
The first condition is that the price has to be at an extremity marked as one of the outer Bollinger band lines. An overbought/oversold state occurs when the bar touches one of the outer bands.
Figure 1: Example entry signals for buy and sell scalp sequences
Figure 1: Example entry signals for buy and sell scalp sequences
When the price is at a lower band, this meets the first condition for a entering long (buy). When the price is at the upper band, this meets the first condition for entering short (sell).
Because the Bollinger is a lagging (delayed) indicator, a real time input is also necessary to improve the odds of each scalp run resulting in a profit. This input comes from examining the recent candle activity.
For the second condition, the current bar has to start retracing back towards (or inside) the band after reaching its high (low) point. This indicates that a brief pullback is taking place after reaching a short-term overbought/oversold state.
For example for a buy signal, the price has to start retracing back up towards the center line of the band. For a sell signal, the price starts to retrace downwards.
If these conditions are met the trade is entered provided the total open volume is not exceeded.
Figure 1 shows a typical scalp sequence.

Example Scalp Sequence

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The strategy will open trades between set time intervals until it reaches the maximum volume. As mentioned above, I use no more than one lot per $10k so the exposure is fairly low. This is not a frenetic, high turnover scalping system. Using these entry signals there are rarely more than around 10 potential trades per day. The stop is set at no greater than half of the width of the Bollinger band. So for example, if the bandwidth is 20 pips, the stop is placed half way at 10 pips.
The take profit amount is also set depending on the volatility. I set this around 5% of the bandwidth (typically 1-6 pips) but it varies depending on how choppy the market is.
The table below illustrates this with a toy example:
Tick Price Side SL TP P/L
1 1.3500 Buy open 1.3490 1.3506 0
2 1.3503 3
3 1.3499 -1
4 1.3506 Sell close 6
Table 1: Managing take profit and stop losses At tick #1, I place a market buy to open order after the price descends to the lower Bollinger and after the first bar starts to retrace back towards the center line. At tick #2 the price moves in the direction of the scalp. At tick #3, the price pulls back but reverses again. My target profit of 6 pips is achieved at tick #4.
This system is good for capturing small profits caused by market volatility. Statistically we know that most trades will enter profit at some point owing to natural market movements. This scalper takes advantage of this.
With this approach, the profits can run by setting a higher profit target. The trader can vary the profit level according the strength of the current trend reversal. This is ideal for capturing the strong retracements that happen at market extremes.
Scalp sequence showing management of exit point
Figure 2: Scalp sequence showing management of exit points
Figure 2 below demonstrates this in a real trading scenario. This shows a small sequence of the test run of the strategy on the EUR/USD one minute chart (M1). The chart shows the complete sequence of four buy orders.
The spread is set at 2.1 pips for each test.
Action Order # Vol Price SL TP Profit ($)
buy 206 0.01 1.05171 1.05021 1.05235
buy 207 0.01 1.05163 1.05009 1.05235
buy 208 0.01 1.05102 1.05007 1.05145
buy 209 0.01 1.05128 1.05012 1.05145
t/p 208 0.01 1.05145 - 1.05145 0.43
t/p 209 0.01 1.05145 - 1.05145 0.17
t/p 206 0.01 1.05235 - 1.05235 0.64
t/p 207 0.01 1.05235 - 1.05235 0.72





Total 1.96
Table 2: Trade sequence from strategy run The sequence starts at order #206. At this instant the price action satisfies both conditions of being within the threshold of the lower Bollinger band (to trigger a buy order) and the bar starts to retrace back towards the center line.
The second bar triggers another buy order as the price meets the entry conditions again. The price then pulls lower and the first two positions briefly enter drawdown. Following this, there are two more bars triggering entries, which results in four executed buy orders (see Figure 2).
The price continues to rise. After two more bars, the exit points for #208 and #209 are reached. This captures a profit of 0.432 and 0.17.
At this point, the price moves high enough to trigger the exit for orders #206 and #207 as well. This happens in the next bars leaving profits of 0.64 and 0.72.
The final P&L for the sequence is $1.96.
Figure 3: Scalper initiating a run of sell orders
Figure 3: Scalper initiating a run of sell orders
The chart above shows a typical run of sell orders while below shows a sequence of buy orders.
Figure 3: Scalper initiating a run of sell orders
Figure 4: Scalper initiating a run of buy orders

Results

Example 1: GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart

The example below shows a run on pair GBP/USD (M5). The spread in Metatrader was set at 21 points (2.1 pips) again. The run completes 285 trades with a total profit of $168.85 (1689 pips).
Figure 5: GBP/USD M5 (click to open results page).
Figure 5: GBP/USD M5 (click to open results page).

Example 2: EUR/USD 1-Minute Chart

The next test shows a run on EUR/USD (M1). The spread again was set at 21 points. The run completes 394 trades with a total profit of $204.28 (2043 pips).
Figure 6: EUR/USD M1 (click to open results page)
Figure 6: EUR/USD M1 (click to open results page).

Example 3: EUR/GBP 5-Minute Chart

Finally, this run shows a EUR/GBP (M5) using the same parameters. The run completes 270 trades with a total profit of $156.84 (1568 pips).
Figure 7: EUR/GBP M5 (click to open results page).
Figure 7: EUR/GBP M5 (click to open results page).

Summary

This article outlines a simple scalping strategy that can be used to trade ranges. This technique does not generate large numbers of trades as do some scalping methods so it is suited to manual trading as well as automation. This is a low yield strategy that does not work well with high leverage. As with all scalpers, success lies in precise timing of the entry and exit points. Refinement of these factors can make this a steady profit generator. Choice of suitable liquid currency pairs with low spreads and low slippage is also key to success.
source:forexop
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